Sportsbook Fantasy Football

Posted : admin On 4/5/2022

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Sportsbook Fantasy Football

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The NFL has four teams remaining in the NFL playoffs. Player prop bets become harder to find. It’s time to dig deep at the best betting sites. Here are the NFL Championship Round Player Props.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers

Sunday, January 24, 2020 – 3:05pm EST at Lambeau Field

To start off Championship weekend, we’ll get to watch Tom Brady face off against Aaron Rodgers. We’ve got two of the greatest to ever do it facing off for a chance at a Super Bowl.

Fantasy football betting is probably the most popular form of fantasy sports gambling in the United States. This really isn’t a surprise as the National Football League (NFL) is the most watched sports.

The weather clearly favors the Packers, as there will be potential snow showers throughout the day along with an 8 miles per hour wind.

A Tampa Bay team is taking the trip to Green Bay. It’s football, and these guys will be prepared, but the edge strictly stays with Green Bay as they’ll have the field advantage. Sure, Tom Brady has played in New England in the cold, but plenty of the other guys are not used to Green Bay type weather.

Without Tampa’s defense, the Buccaneers wouldn’t be sitting comfortably right now. Sure, Brady threw two touchdowns, but he also went 18 of 33 for 199 yards passing. Maybe he’s getting a little more credit than he deserves.

The Packers will rely on Jaire Alexander, along with the rest of the secondary, to keep the passing game in check. Alexander has become a massive strength for this defense.

In a close and snowy game, Brady will struggle to complete passes, and the run game might do extra work with Ronald Jones back in the mix. They’ll have fresh legs that they can rely on.

Tom Brady under 24.5 completions has missed in four of his last six games where the weather wasn’t nearly this bad. The Packers might lead late, causing Brady to have to throw more. But at that point, if the Bucs are losing, it means he’s been struggling getting completions in the first place. I would also take a look at under 286.5 passing yards for Brady.

NFL Picks:

Brady Under 24.5 Completions (-125) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Sunday, January 23, 2021 – 6:40 PM EST at Arrowhead Stadium

At this point, we have no idea if Patrick Mahomes is playing or not. I’d love to look at Kansas City Chiefs' props, but I’m not going to do until I know who the quarterback is. On the other side of things, the Buffalo Bills are healthy and have had some fantastic receiving out of Stefon Diggs, who has now hit over 100 yards in back-to-back playoff games against solid secondaries like the Colts and Ravens.

Diggs, in those two games, has been targeted by Josh Allen 20 times and has caught 14 passes for 234 yards. He’s averaging over 16 yards per catch, and he has a touchdown in each game of the year.

This isn’t just a playoff thing either. Diggs has now hit over 100 yards receiving in five of his last six games. He’s stepping up on the big stage when he’s needed the most. The one time he didn’t get over 100 yards was the game against the Dolphins in Week 17, where they won 56-26. He still had seven catches and eight targets.

Even if Chad Henne starts for the Chiefs, I still expect a high scoring game between two very high powered offenses. Diggs will be in the mix, and he’s someone that Allen has trusted all season long.

Diggs also has six touchdowns in his last six games and is going up against a Chiefs defense that has not been terrific in the secondary.

We’ll most likely see Charvarius Ward on Diggs, who has allowed .91 yards after catch and a 57 percent completion percentage. Diggs should have a day against the Chiefs with over 100 yards along with a touchdown.

NFL Picks:

Every week, at least one player becomes my fascination of whether he’s worthy of a fantasy football start or bench. The decision can be a mental wrestling match, but for the purpose of brevity, only one player can be chosen as the fantasy football gamble of the week.

The best fantasy football gamble for Week 10

Tracking my predictions: 4-4-1
Win: Player produces ≥ 80% of projected fantasy points
Loss: Player produces >80% of projected fantasy points
Tie: Player is ejected or leaves with an injury

I couldn’t find a single player last week that deserved more than a lukewarm endorsement, so I settled on Seattle Seahawks TE Greg Olsen. Right position on the team, wrong player … Jacob Hollister, not Olsen, was the primary beneficiary of the matchup and situation, marking the first time all season in this space that my recommendations were wrong in consecutive weeks.

Rather than play it safe to avoid making it a hat trick of consecutively terrible calls, I’m going to place my bet on game flow and situational football taking over.

Cleveland Browns WR Rashard Higgins vs. Houston Texans

When the Browns lost Odell Beckham Jr. (knee) for the season in Week 7, Higgins stepped in cold and picked up the slack. He finished with six targets, as many receptions, and 110 yards. OBJ wasn’t heavily involved in the offense to begin with, and this is a run-heavy system, so we’re not looking at a massive volume of work to replace. That must be recognized off the bat — and it was, in part, on display in Week 8 when Higgins had the lineup spot all to himself. He saw three targets vs. Las Vegas, landing one for 14 yards. It’s difficult to matter much when your team passes 25 times.

In Week 9, the Browns were on bye and had the time make the necessary adjustments that could benefit Higgins. Another factor working in his favor is the expected return of running back Nick Chubb, because his explosive nature keeps defenses honest, whereas Kareem Hunt is more of a grinding style of player who doesn’t necessarily scare defensive coordinators with the prospects of ripping off a massive run each time he touches the ball.

Tight end Austin Hooper also is poised to return after missing action due to an appendectomy, and his position faces a bright matchup outlook vs. the Texans. That could potentially work against Higgins’ volume, but it also presents yet another outlet for the defense to focus on.

Higgins, who scored in consecutive games as a role player prior to OBJ going down, has demonstrated chemistry with quarterback Baker Mayfield in the past. The two hooked up on four touchdowns in 2018, and Higgins amounted to somewhat of a safety blanket for the then-rookie passer during a season in which Jarvis Landry was the top receiver and Beckham wasn’t on the roster. Sound familiar?

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Houston has given up the seventh-highest average of PPR points to the position on the season, and in the last five weeks, the number jumps from 41.8 per game to 49.5, which is 30 percent more than the league average. Thirteen receivers in eight contests have posted 10 or more points in reception-rewarding scoring systems, and there have been six individual efforts with at least 75 yards. Ten receivers have produced five or more grabs against this unit.

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My biggest concern about this situation is the offense could lean into the positive matchup for the running backs heavier than expected and we see a similar situation as in Week 8, when low volume was a fantasy death knell for Cleveland receivers. The reason why I feel this is mitigated vs. Houston is the Texans have the firepower to keep Cleveland in need of scoring points in a matchup that favors Houston’s aerial game.

In a week where gamers are without Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley, Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb, Tyreek Hill and Jamison Crowder, there has to be a willingness to take a chance on an underutilized player with a great matchup and extenuating factors working in his favor. Part of taking that gamble comes with the acceptance that some weeks you’re rolling the dice on modest output and not a game-breaking performance.